Argentina: ¿Qué es la inflación reprimida?

El gobierno de Javier Milei enfrenta el desafío de abordar la "inflación reprimida" acumulada en diversos sectores económicos.

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Aunque aún no hay una definición oficial, La Libertad Avanza da señales de un "sinceramiento" de precios a partir del 10 de diciembre.

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¿Qué es la inflación reprimida? Una situación en la que la demanda agregada supera la oferta y, por tanto, la eliminación de los controles de precios y el racionamiento llevaría a un aumento de la inflación. el nivel medio de precios.

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La acumulación de precios regulados desde diciembre de 2019 es del 512%, mientras que el IPC núcleo, excluyendo esos productos, aumentó en un 866%.

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Los rubros con mayor retraso incluyen vivienda, agua, electricidad, gas, comunicación, bienes y servicios varios, educación, transporte, salud, bebidas alcohólicas y tabaco.

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Los mayores incrementos se observan en prendas de vestir, calzado, restaurantes, hoteles, alimentos, bebidas, recreación, cultura, equipamiento y mantenimiento del hogar.

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La discontinuación del programa de Precios Justos plantea incertidumbres sobre los productos de consumo masivo.

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Los analistas advierten sobre la necesidad de un enfoque gradual para evitar descalabros sociales. Sin embargo, se espera un ajuste en el dólar oficial, tarifas y combustibles, lo que podría impactar en la inflación.

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El consenso de los analistas anticipa que la inflación podría superar el 185% acumulado para fines de 2023, marcando la variación más alta desde la hiperinflación de fines de la presidencia de Raúl Alfonsín y principios de la de Carlos Menem.

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