Cómo impacta en la Argentina el resultado electoral de EEUU

El superávit financiero hace menos vulnerable a la economía local, pero el país necesita recuperar el acceso al mercado y cerrar con el FMI, aunque un dólar fuerte complicaría la política cambiaria del Gobierno.

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Según los analistas del mercado, una victoria de Trump implica un dólar más fuerte o, a la inversa, monedas emergentes más débiles y un temor a un aumento de los aranceles a la importación y caída de los precios de commodities.

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Sin embargo, en lo inmediato, la mayor sintonía e identificación con Trump podría, eventualmente, favorecer a la Argentina debido a la posibilidad de un mayor apoyo del FMI.

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Sin embargo, la expectativa del Gobierno que quedó instalada en el mercado es que un triunfo de Trump contribuye a una postura más flexible del Fondo Monetario debido a la afinidad ideológica.

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El FMI, explicaron desde Max Capital, ya parece dispuesto a apoyar a Argentina. Pero es el tamaño del próximo programa en lo que podría influir el gobierno de Estados Unidos y no la firma en sí misma de un acuerdo.

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Tras conocerse los resultados, Javier Milei saludó a Trump a través de las redes sociales. “Felicidades por tu formidable victoria, puedes contar con Argentina”, publicó.

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El jefe de Estado siempre exhibió su cercanía ideológica con el presidente electo de los Estados Unidos y ahora se prepara para diseñar una agenda común que debería impactar en la negociación con el FMI.

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La victoria de Trump impulsa a los mercados: suben acciones, dólar, Bitcoin y tasas de la deuda de EEUU. En Argentina, el riesgo país cayó debajo de los 900 puntos.

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